Tuesday, March 5, 2019

1310 North Korea Makes Mistake by Not Emulating China-Style Land Reform

North Korea Makes Mistake by Not Emulating China-Style Land Reform

North Korea Makes Mistake by Not Emulating China-Style Land Reform

A commentary by Andrei Lankov
2013-10-14
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North Korean workers are seen working in an apple farm near Pyongyang, April 10, 2012.
North Korean workers are seen working in an apple farm near Pyongyang, April 10, 2012.
 AFP
The five- to six-year period from the mid- to late 1990s may have been the most difficult period of time in North Korean history. The North Korean government uses the expression “Arduous March” in its propaganda to promote the period as a time of heroic struggle.
The expression “Arduous March” does not correctly explain the period’s situation, however. It would be far more accurate to refer to the period as a “time of great famine.” The reason for this great famine was not, as North Korea’s state media argues, because of investment for nuclear weapons development or severe flood damage. Rather, it was due to the North Korean government’s wrong-headed policies.
If the North Korean government had conducted a land reform along the lines of that which occurred in China during the 1990s not one single North Korean would have died from starvation.
In the late 1970s, China divvied up all land owned by the state to the farmers and dissolved all state-run farms, which, incidentally, were similar to North Korea’s cooperative farms. Ultimately, when Chinese farmers began to work on land they owned themselves the country’s agriculture yield skyrocketed. Within five to six years of implementing the land reform, China’s food production increased 1.3 times.
During this period, China did not bring in new machinery nor did it introduce some new kind of manure. This increase in food production was done with the same tools and machinery the farmers had been using long before.
The Chinese case was not an anomaly. As world history has shown us, farmers have no incentive to work hard on land owned by others. It is hard to deny the underlying fact that farmers feel no need to work hard when they are forced to give away their hard-earned harvest to landowners or the state.
Fears of loss of control
The transformation that occurred in China has been witnessed in other countries as well. Russia was a major importer of grains during its communist days but has now become one of the biggest exporters of grains in the world. Vietnam suffered from famines up until even the late 1980s but has now developed into one of the top three producers of rice on the planet.
North Korea’s food situation would also improve greatly if the country’s leaders decided to divvy up state-owned land to the farmers and allow them to sell their harvest on the market however they wish. North Korean authorities think that such reforms are very dangerous, however. They are fearful that these reforms could lead to the rise of a democracy movement and spontaneous cooperation among the North Korean people.
The North Korean government believes that watching over and controlling the people is essential to maintaining the life of the regime.
I believe that such fears on the part of the North Korean leadership are unfounded. World history has shown us that farmers with improved living standards do not start revolutions. History is scattered with cases where intellectuals and laborers support revolutions even when living conditions are good because they want to improve their own political participation or individual freedoms.
Farmers are different, however. Most farmers give no thought to starting a revolution if they receive 100% of their hard-earned harvests.
Ultimately, I believe that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has made a mistake by not implementing land reform like China did in the late 1990s. Unlike other types of reform, a land reform would provide major benefits without incurring a threat to the regime.
I think that Kim Jong Un would do well to understand this fact.
Andrei Lankov, a professor at Kookmin University in Seoul, is a Russian historian, North Korea expert, and regular RFA contributor.
Translated by Robert Lauler.

North Korean Soldiers, Farmers in Conflict Over Harvest



North Korean Soldiers, Farmers in Conflict Over Harvest


HOME | NEWS | NORTH KOREA
North Korean Soldiers, Farmers in Conflict Over Harvest
2015-10-23


Farmers tend their field near Rason, North Korea, in a file photo.
AFP


Hostility is growing between farmers and soldiers in a North Korean province bordering China, with soldiers raiding farms to seize crops and farmers selling portions of their harvests set aside for military use in order to pay the costs of fertilizers, sources say.

Emboldened by government policy giving the military preference in resource distribution, North Korean soldiers are now behaving less like the country’s protector and more like “a punitive force,” a source in North Hamgyong province told RFA’s Korean Service.

“The people are suffering immeasurably under the regime’s Military First policy,” RFA’s source said, speaking on condition of anonymity. “The farmers are helpless against the looting.”

Soldiers now carry out frequent nighttime raids against farmers’ stores, taking as much as they can of harvested crops, he said, adding, “Some cooperative farm members standing guard have begged to be tied up in order to avoid being blamed later on for what has been lost.”

“The military should be protecting the people, but instead are taking away their property,” he said.

“Their raids to seize the farmers’ precious crops are like the raids of a punitive force suppressing a rebellion.”

'Forced into crime'

Meanwhile, in North Hamgyong’s Cheongjin city, the head of a cooperative farm’s management committee was dismissed from his post, and members of his staff jailed, after they sold 200 kilograms of corn intended for military use in order to pay the costs of earlier farming, another source said.

“He used the crops he stole from the military provision in order to pay for the fertilizer and pesticides they had purchased in the spring, as well as for the meals for volunteers,” the source said.

The committee head was then discharged from his post, and staff members sentenced to prison terms of 15 years, for their role in the theft, he said.

“Farmers are now criticizing the authorities, and are angry at being forced to become criminals after slaving away in the fields, he said.

Civilian animosity against North Korea’s military is now “extremely high both in the cities and rural towns because of a series of incidents involving soldiers,” the source said.

Harvests in North Korea are meanwhile expected to miss targets this season after authorities ordered a rush on construction projects ahead of celebrations marking the 70th anniversary in October of the founding of the ruling Korean Workers’ Party, according to sources inside the country.

Farmers were mobilized to join crews racing to complete a host of projects ahead of the Oct. 10 events and were unable to fully harvest their crops, sources in North Hamgyong said.

In order to avoid punishment, collective farms in the province reported the harvests complete, though they were still well short of their goal, one source said.

Reported by Jieun Kim for RFA’s Korean Service. Translated by Hee Jung Yang. Written in English by Richard Finney.

1503 North Korea Farm Policy Changes Point to Better Harvests



North Korea Farm Policy Changes Point to Better Harvests
North Korea Farm Policy Changes Point to Better Harvests
A commentary by Andrei Lankov
2015-03-04


Kim Jong Un (L) inspects vegetable greenhouses on a farm in South Pyongan province, June 21, 2013.
AFP PHOTO/KCNA via KNS


Seemingly, in recent days some good economic news began to emerge from North Korea. Last month, the World Food Program published its estimates of North Korea’s 2014 harvest. It seems that the harvest is better than the year before, even though the 2013 harvest was also remarkably good. It is estimated that in 2014 the North Korean farmers harvested some 5.1-5.2 million tons of grain, well above the level of 4.5 million tons which was the norm until recently.

So, North Korean agriculture is improving, and it is clear what brings such improvement. From 2013 the North Korean government began to widely implement a policy of reforms, known as the ‘June 28 decisions’. In essence, the measures envision the switch to household-based agriculture. Under the new system, one or two neighbouring families can register as a ‘small work team’ and then keep 30% of the harvest they reap.

According to some reports, from this year, the share will increase to 60%. At least, such an increase is said to be a part of the ‘May 30 measures’ which are to be implemented from this year.

In the past the North Korean farmers were, in essence, modern-day slaves. They could not leave their farm and change jobs without prior permission, and they worked for fixed rations and small salaries. The actual results of their work had little impact on their income: irrespective of whether they worked well or not, the payment was roughly the same. So, like serfs and slaves of the bygone eras, they did not work hard unless supervised closely.

Now, things have changed. North Korean farmers are becoming sharecroppers, not slaves. While sharecroppers are exploited, too, they know that the efficiency of their work will have a direct impact on their income and their living standards;, hence they were willing to work hard and did what they could to increase the harvest. At the end of the day, the more sharecroppers produce, the better they live. The increase in the agricultural productivity, recently experienced by North Korea, seems to confirm it.

Thus, there are good reasons to feel optimistic about the future of North Korean agriculture. The new policies work, and the world experience also confirms that such changes are likely to produce quick results. In China, where similar policies were first implemented in 1978-79, agricultural production increased by an impressive 50 percent within merely seven years from the switch to the new system.

It is remarkable that in China this unprecedented growth was achieved without much additional investment. Once the Chinese farmers began to work for themselves, they increased their output, even though the arable area, the level of mechanization, the availability of fertilizer and many other variables remained, essentially, the same. The only thing which changed in China from the beginning was the incentive structure, and this change immediately produced great and impressive results. There is no reason to believe that North Korean farmers will react differently.

In the past, the North Korean government was remarkably reluctant to change the system, because the top decision makers were afraid that even small reforms would trigger a major political crisis, perhaps a revolution. While such fears are not completely unfounded, of all possible reforms the changes in agriculture are, perhaps, the least risky politically.

The world experience shows that farmers tend to be politically passive, unless organized by outside forces. They are not much interested in political questions, if they assume that hard work will yield good results. Farmers’ unrest is not unknown, to be sure, but most revolutions begin in cities, not in villages. So, from this point of view, a minor relaxation of control in the countryside will not create excessive risks for the North Korean political elite.

Instead, the new policy is likely to bring easy economic improvement, both in the countryside and in major cities. Hence, one can hope that reforms will continue, so we will hear more good news from North Korean farms.

14 [Farmers in North Korea Lose Faith in Crop-Distribution Policy



Farmers in North Korea Lose Faith in Crop-Distribution Policy


HOME | NEWS | NORTH KOREA
Farmers in North Korea Lose Faith in Crop-Distribution Policy
2014-10-20


Kim Jong Un (L) inspects vegetable greenhouses on a farm in South Pyongan province, June 21, 2013.
AFP PHOTO/KCNA via KNS


North Korean farmers are outraged that the government of Kim Jong Un has failed to fulfill a pledge that allows them to keep nearly one-third of their grain harvest under a crop-distribution policy adopted two years ago.

The so-called “incentive-added” policy, which in theory allows farmers to keep 30 percent of their unit’s harvest and the government the remainder, was implemented as part of wider reforms to improve the overall economy and lives of people in the impoverished nation grappling with chronic food shortages.

“They promised that 70 percent of the food produced would be offered to North Korean authorities and 30 percent to farmers, but they haven’t kept the promise [to the farmers] so far,” a source in Pyongyang told RFA’s Korean Service.

Under the policy, farmers are also supposedly allowed to keep any surplus grain if they exceed their production targets.

“Incentive-added crop distribution was an empty promise that could not be kept,” a North Korean who works in the agricultural sector told RFA. “Executives in the agricultural sector obviously knew it.”

Authorities have been dividing up traditional collective farms and allocating their fields to smaller groups since the beginning of 2013, sources inside North Korea said earlier this year.

“Each collective farm distributed crops to farmers, but farmers have expressed their dissatisfaction because each farm did not carry [the policy] out as promised,” the Pyongyang source said.

Unrealistic plan

Kim Jong Un, who came to power after his father, Kim Jong Il, died in December 2011, declared during his New Year’s address that agriculture was the main pending issue for improving the economy of the socialist country and people’s lives, the source said.

Based on this guideline, North Korea’s Ministry of Agriculture set a national production goal of 6 million tons of grain, the source said.

But the source who works in the agricultural sector said this plan was unrealistic because the incentive-added agricultural reform policy remained in place, had many shortcomings, and resulted in the exploitation of farmers.


“[Because] this incentive-added crop distribution promise was not kept even this year, it will cause trouble for farming because of the decline in farmers’ morale,” the source who works in the agricultural sector said. “Farmers are outraged at the authorities’ broken promise for incentive-added crop distribution each year.”

When the incentive-added crop-distribution system was not carried out as promised last year, the authorities became concerned and held the first national conference of sub-work team leaders in the agricultural sector on Feb. 6-7 in Pyongyang.

Sub-work teams consist of three to five people each working for large cooperative farms, where workers are permitted to sell surplus output at market after taking out the state’s portion, according to South Korea’s Yonhap News Agency.

At the conference, Kim Jong Un emphasized his push for small-scale farms, alluding to the inefficiency of large collective farms, it said.

He issued a letter at the conference stating his intention to speed up the overhaul of the agricultural sector, one of the main elements of the economic reform measures announced in June 2012 to improve the overall economy, the report said.

Skeptical

When the incentive-added crop-distribution policy was first implemented, farmers were excited about it, but remained skeptical about its benefits because they distrusted the government and were concerned about farm managers siphoning off their share of the grain, sources had said earlier this year.
But at the time, some farm workers also expressed hope that the policy could ease the country’s food shortages, the sources told RFA.

Sources had warned previously that a key stumbling block to the agricultural reforms would be the management structures of the collective farms which had not changed since the policy was implemented.

Reported by Sung-hui Moon for RFA’s Korea Service. Translated by Hanna Lee. Written in English by Roseanne Gerin.

North Korea Acknowledges Agricultural Failures in Rare Admission



North Korea Acknowledges Agricultural Failures in Rare Admission
North Korea Acknowledges Agricultural Failures in Rare Admission
Eugene Whong
2018-12-28



North Korean farm workers tend to a field on the outskirts of the capital Pyongyang, July 12, 2016.
AFP


North Korea has recently admitted that its agricultural sector has faced drawbacks over the past year, a rare public acknowledgement of failure that is further confirmation that Kim Jong Un’s approach to leading the country is very different from that of his late father or grandfather, experts say.

North Korean Premier Pak Pong Ju made the admission Thursday at a meeting of agricultural specialists in Pyongyang. He was quoted in an English-language KCNA report as saying there were “drawbacks made by some farms and units in the past.”

“[Some have] failed to conduct seed production and management in a responsible way and also fell short of doing proper strain distribution in line with climatic conditions and characteristics of fields,” Pak said.

Pak also said that the agricultural sector needs to produce enough grain to reach the goals laid out in a five-year plan for development that is scheduled to end in 2020.

Since Kim Jong Un took power in 2011, the government has been more forthcoming in admitting its failures, experts have noted.

Robert Manning, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, told RFA’s Korean Service Thursday that Kim Jong Un is a very different person than his father and grandfather.

“He has a little different style,” Manning said. “He’s more open [to criticism compared to previous leaders].”

Manning also said that sometimes North Korea will admit to failure publicly when they are trying to fire someone in a high office, but did not know for sure if this is the case this time.

Manning was critical of the regime for its willingness to devote resources for its missile program and for luxury goods, and expressed pessimism at the notion that food aid for North Korea could be used as a bargaining chip in possible future negotiations with the regime.

“If [Kim] wanted to feed people, he could,” said Manning. “But he’s not going to offer any concession for food aid.”

He also pointed out that the agricultural sector isn’t the only area where North Korea is failing; the market system is also broken. Manning recommended that the U.S. and South Korea should float to Pyongyang the idea of joining the IMF and WTO to get international aid for the country’s development.

Meanwhile, the American Friends Service Committee’s Publication and Advocacy Coordinator Daniel Jasper told RFA that the agricultural failure occurred despite aid provided by his organization.

“There are a few different things we’ve been working on over the years,” he said, adding, “One of them is rice cultivation and the introduction of plastic trays.”
“That has been a very successful project that has raised [yields] 15 to 20% in some farms.”

But farm aid is not enough to combat the looming hunger crisis, according to humanitarian groups.


Channel NewsAsia reported that the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization said this month that North Korea needs to import an estimated 641,000 tons of food in 2019. This is a huge increase over the 456,000 tons the North imported this year.

The U.N.’s World Food Programme said in October that over 10 million North Koreans, about 40% of the population, were “undernourished and in need of support, with one in five children stunted due to chronic malnutrition.”

Additional Reporting by Soyoung Kim for RFA’s Korean Service.

싱가포르 NGO, 4월 평양서 ‘북한경제포럼’ 개최



싱가포르 NGO, 4월 평양서 ‘북한경제포럼’ 개최


홈페이지 | 뉴스 | 식량/ 경제
싱가포르 NGO, 4월 평양서 ‘북한경제포럼’ 개최
워싱턴-지예원 jiy@rfa.org
2019-01-25





평양의 한 상점 앞에 음식을 사려는 사람들이 길게 줄을 서 있다.
AP Photo





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앵커: 싱가포르에 기반을 둔 비영리 민간단체인 조선익스체인지(Choson Exchange)가 오는 4월 해외 경제 및 경영 전문가들과 함께 방북해 제1회 ‘북한경제포럼’(DPRK Economic Forum)을 개최할 예정입니다. 지예원 기자가 보도합니다.

대북 교류와 교육 지원을 하는 ‘조선익스체인지’는 오는 4월 20일부터 27일까지 북한 평양에서 ‘북한경제포럼’을 개최한다면서, 북한인들에게 경제 및 사업 관련 지식과 경험을 전수할 수 있는 외국인들의 방북 신청을 받고 있다고 밝혔습니다.

이 단체의 인터넷 홈페이지에 게재된 안내문에 따르면, 방북 신청 마감일은 오는 2월 19일이며 미국, 한국, 일본 국적자를 제외한 외국인들이 신청할 수 있습니다.

방북 비용의 일부는 참가자들의 기부로 충당된다고 알린 이 단체는, 일인당 1,900 유로 즉 미화 약 2,200달러가 필요하다고 밝혔습니다.

또 이번 방북 기간 중 3일은 북한 현지 주민들을 대상으로 한 교육∙훈련 및 교류가 집중적으로 이루어 질 것이라면서, 특히 마케팅 즉 홍보, 재정, 관리 등을 비롯한 비지니스 즉 사업 관련 분야에 종사하는 해외 전문가들의 참여를 독려했습니다.

아울러 이 단체는 최근 북한이 국제사회와 관여하는 행보를 이어나가고 있다고 평가하면서, 북한이 직면한 많은 과제들은 최근 남북 간 철도연결 사업에서도 볼 수 있듯이 다른 분야 간(inter-sectoral) 긴밀한 상호 협력을 필요로 한다고 강조했습니다.

그러면서 이번 포럼은 북한인과 외국 전문가들이 한자리에 모여 경제와 사업에 대한 다양한 주제를 다루는 장(multi-sector platform)을 만들기 위해 마련됐다고 소개했습니다.

이 단체는 지난해 11월 평성에서 스타트업, 즉 창업 연수회를 개최하고 16명의 해외 전문가들과 함께 방북해 70∼80명의 북한 주민들을 대상으로 전자 상거래 등 창업에 대한 교육을 진행하기도 했습니다.

앞서 미국의 대북 교류 민간단체인 전미북한위원회(NCNK)의 키스 루스 사무총장은 ‘조선익스체인지’가 그동안 북한인들이 사업가가 될 수 있도록 훈련하는 데 큰 도움이 됐다고 자유아시아방송(RFA)에 전한 바 있습니다.

루스 사무총장: ‘조선익스체인지’는 북한인들이 사업가가 될 수 있도록 훈련하고 사업 현실에 대한 좋은 정보들을 얻을 수 있도록 하는데 성공적인 활동을 해왔습니다. (Choson Exchange has a successful track record of training North Koreans on becoming entrepreneurs and better informed about business realities.)

‘조선익스체인지’는 2010년 설립된 이후 북한 내 사업가와 기업가 정신을 가진 개인들에게 연수회, 조언, 장학금 등을 제공하면서 대북 교육 및 훈련을 목적으로 하는 교류와 지원 사업을 이어오고 있습니다.

통일부 “타미플루 전달날짜 최종 조율중…유엔사와도 협의”



통일부 “타미플루 전달날짜 최종 조율중…유엔사와도 협의”





홈페이지 | 뉴스
통일부 “타미플루 전달날짜 최종 조율중…유엔사와도 협의”
서울-노재완 nohjw@rfa.org
2019-01-30




지난 2009년 한국정부가 보낸 타미플루 40만명분과 리렌자 10만명분이 군사분계선을 통과한 뒤 개성에 도착, 북한 트럭에 옮겨지고 있다.
연합뉴스





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앵커: 한국 통일부가 독감 치료제인 타미플루를 북한에 전달할 날짜를 북한측과 최종 조율 중이며 유엔군사령부와도 협의 중이라고 밝혔습니다.

서울에서 노재완 기자 보도합니다.

한국 통일부가 30일 독감 치료제인 타미플루를 북한에 전달할 날짜를 북한측과 최종 조율하고 있다고 밝혔습니다.

또 현재 유엔군사령부와도 협의 중이라며 조속한 시일 내에 관련 준비를 마치고 타미플루의 대북 전달이 이뤄지도록 하겠다고 설명했습니다.

백태현 통일부 대변인: 지금 유엔사하고도 협의 중에 있고요. 북측하고도 최종적으로 협의 중에 있습니다.

한국 정부가 북한 지역으로 넘어가 타미플루를 전달하려면 군사분계선(MDL) 통행 계획을 유엔군사령부와 협의해야 합니다.

군사분계선 통행계획은 48시간 전에 유엔사에 통보해야 하지만 한국 정부는 시한을 넘겨도 가능하도록 유엔사 측과 협의 중인 것으로 전해졌습니다.

한국 정부는 지난달 말 미국과 타미플루를 비롯해 민간업체가 기부한 신속진단키트를 북한에 전달한다는 방안에 공감대를 이뤘지만 타미플루 운송수단의 제재 관련성 등을 놓고 한미 간 협의가 길어지면서 일정이 지연됐습니다.

이날 한국의 해양수산부와 국방부는 지난해 말 실시한 남북 공동수로조사 결과를 토대로 한강하구 남북 공동이용수역에 대한 해도 제작을 완료했다고 밝혔습니다.

강용석 국립해양조사원장: 남북 각 10명으로 구성된 공동조사단이 한국 선박 총 6척에 승선하여 강화군 말도에서 파주시 만우리까지 약 70㎞ 해역을 500m 간격의 개략적 수로 측량과 조석 관측을 시행하였고..

한국 국방부는 이날 판문점에서 이뤄진 남북 군사실무접촉을 통해 북한측에 이번에 제작한 해도를 전달했습니다.

한국 국방부는 이번 실무접촉에서 한국측은 한강하구 공동이용수역에 대한 남북 공동수로 조사 결과를 반영해 제작한 한강하구 해도와 조사결과 보고서 등을 북한측에 전달했으며 양측 공동수로 조사단장들에 의한 서명식도 병행했다고 설명했습니다.

남북 군사당국은 또한 한강하구 민간선박 자유항행과 관련한 실무적인 문제도 협의했습니다.

또 9·19 남북 군사합의에 따라 오는 4월부터 민간선박의 한강하구 자유항행을 시범적으로 허용하고 선박 항행을 단계적으로 확대해 나가기로 했습니다.

이번 남북 공동이용수역 해도는 축척 1:6만으로 제작됐으며 공동이용수역의 수심과 해안선, 암초 위치 등이 표기됐습니다.